Special elections or referendums? Special elections in Florida, Hawaii, and Pennsylvania have the dems worried

Three special elections are coming in the next few weeks. The first of which is in Florida’s liberal 19^th Congressional district, where Republican Edward Lynch faces Democrat Ted Deutch. Two other special elections are being held in May, one in Pennsylvania, the other in Hawaii.

According to Politico, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is pulling out all the stops to prevent another Scott Brown type of victory. Brown, elected to replace Ted Kennedy, was the third conservative candidate to be elected during the health care debate. In two preceding races, Chris Christie defeated liberal gubernatorial incumbent John Corzine in New Jersey and Bob McDonnell handily defeated Tim Kaine for the governor of Virginia. In all three races, the losers embraced President Obama’s agenda, while the winners made opposition to Mr. Obama’s agenda the centerpiece of their campaign.

Since the three national losses, many democrat congressmen and senators have been announcing their retirement or a return to the private sector. There is good reason for such trepidation with congressional job approval at an all time low and the economy showing little signs of significant recovery.

The conventional wisdom is a republican House Majority come November and by all indications thus far, it would seem inevitable. But the midterms are a political light year away and one significant event could change the dynamics—the democrats might want to take a lesson from the three prior victors.

-- Killswitch Politick

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